Croatia's draw, Albania's defeat increase Serbia's chances: Here is how likely we are to reach round of 16

Maths is working overtime

Serbia's chances to qualify to the round of 16 of the European football fhampionship have changed significantly after the draw between Italy and Croatia, as well as Spain's victory over Albania.

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According to simulations that take into account Elo ratings, Serbia has no chance of finishing first in Group C. One more game will be played in the group stage, Serbia against Denmark, while England will play against Slovenia.

Thus, according to the latest forecasts, the team chosen by head coach Dragan "Piksi" Stojkovic has a 26 percent chance of finishing second in the group, an 18 percent chance of finishing third and a 56 percent chance of finishing fourth. When it comes to advancing to the round of 16, Serbia has a 37 percent chance.

Moreover, there is a 13 percent chance that Serbia will be among the 8 best-placed teams in the tournament. The chances of reaching the semi-finals are 5 percent, while the chances of playing the final are also 5 percent. When it comes to winning the tournament, Serbia's chances are only 2 percent.

The results of the last two games in Group C will be crucial for the final fate of the Serbia team in this championship. Also, the results in other groups can affect whether Serbia will be among the best third-placed teams.

While we wait for the final matches, it remains to be seen whether Serbia will manage to fight for a place in the round of 16 and continue its participation in the tournament.

When it comes to the predicted winner, at the moment, the best chances are given to France with 17 percent, followed by Spain with 15 percent, Germany and Portugal with 11 percent each, and the Netherlands with 10 percent.

(Telegraf.rs)