Kocovic: Covid situation in Serbia getting worse day by day. He reveals when the curve might flatten

It will get close to 1,000 (new daily cases) in 10 days, plus or minus two days, we already know that based on the experience not only from Serbia, but from all over the world. About 1,000, maybe more, maybe less - said Petar Kocovic

Information technology professor Petar Kocovic said today that September 15 will be a turning point, that Serbia is currently is in the 39th day of the trend of an increasing number new Covid cases and that he believes the British model of epidemic control will become dominant in the world.

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"In Serbia, the situation is getting worse day by day, starting from July 2, and we are on the 39th day of the growth. At this stage, that growth will be higher and higher until around September 15. Then a flattening of the curve, or a fall, is expected. It will get close to 1,000 in 10 days, plus or minus two days, we already know that based on the experience not only from Serbia, but from all over the world. About 1,000, maybe more, maybe less," he told TV Prva.

"The numbers will go up, the whole of Europe now thinks that this will be the second lost summer if people are not vacationing, using benefits, and we see that countries such as Great Britain, Spain or Cyprus have experienced cataclysmic figures in just a few days. All those countries reached an infection index of 1,000 per 100,000 inhabitants in the previous two weeks. According to that index, we are close to 80, they are far worse off, but they managed to stop that trend," said Kocovic.

"The British made the most progress because they introduced a model like at the Olympics. A couple of weeks ago it was said that all measures should be lifted, and when I heard that on TV, I just said, uh, what is this man doing! But they introduced an app that ‘catches’ those who were in contact with potential carriers and called it a ‘pingdemia’. They ping everyone who was with infected people, the phones locate where people are and who they have been with. At first, a distance of four meters was the norm, but people complained, the application did not register partition walls, so you'd get pinged even if you were separated from a neighbor in the other apartment by a wall. Suddenly, everyone was informed to stay at home for two weeks, among them also frontline workers," Kocovic explained.

"They then reduced the sensitivity (of the app) and stood at about 300,000 pinged people. But an important detail is that Great Britain measured the current situation, while in Japan people got tested at the airport and then entered the Olympic village, and again there were about 450 infected people. I believe that this will become the dominant model," said professor Kocovic.

(Telegraf.rs)